Well, this is a fringe theory based on statistics. According to the Tiobe Index (http://www.tiobe.com/index.php/content/paperinfo/tpci/index.html) Java is falling at a pretty much constant rate of -7/8% per year. At that rate the programming language Java will become obsolete by my definition (3.5%) on June 25, 2026 5:08:34 PM CST. Anyways, you don’t actually see that many Java programs that are actually in use in the real world.

Now this all depends on whether Oracle can get Java running again. I think they wouldn’t have bought it if they didn’t have a plan to make it useful again. I personally don’t use Java so I can’t say whether or not I like it, but the statistics don’t lie: Java is losing speed rapidly in the Programming arena.

Now, of course, this is all theoretical and far from scientific. If anything changes, that date will change too. If Oracle improves the language, it might even gain in strength.

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